Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 89.158085 101.680028 116.314336 134.939921 158.403961 187.541096 2.273998e+02
2024-10-20 73.116695 88.799779 109.060842 138.101628 180.428879 243.189222 3.510765e+02
2024-10-27 62.710336 78.962090 101.239562 135.645951 190.991703 284.607714 4.798086e+02
2024-11-03 58.657775 76.370492 102.050969 144.758707 220.971184 370.848570 7.731114e+02
2024-11-10 57.835351 77.936442 108.851604 164.640704 277.170099 546.628956 1.625674e+03
2024-11-17 53.286877 73.180258 104.805090 164.658527 294.880208 651.449633 2.656777e+03
2024-11-24 49.196142 68.569776 100.184668 162.377544 306.633861 752.966687 4.435161e+03
2024-12-01 45.644976 64.398238 95.671927 159.242206 315.214633 856.565356 7.944146e+03
2024-12-08 43.065839 61.524283 93.007624 159.264568 332.160890 1019.384792 2.058607e+04
2024-12-15 40.875425 59.068932 90.754147 159.658363 350.639318 1227.291419 1.192057e+05
2024-12-22 38.119179 55.418888 85.881451 153.303019 346.495984 1311.912870 1.931534e+06
2024-12-29 37.040318 54.547013 86.112733 158.714068 382.952033 1763.317361 NaN
2025-01-05 34.172944 50.580318 80.443585 150.204073 372.506380 1877.312561 NaN
2025-01-12 32.795194 49.166485 79.685338 153.896096 410.971459 2720.799983 NaN
2025-01-19 30.957057 46.756723 76.624830 151.011444 422.389884 3407.922885 NaN
2025-01-26 30.484981 46.772465 78.495782 161.738564 503.735410 7226.480306 NaN
2025-02-02 30.903626 48.468481 84.162892 185.339081 689.084186 57744.793237 NaN
2025-02-09 29.623589 46.803868 82.222344 185.360355 737.540225 336128.608540 NaN
2025-02-16 28.293277 44.940564 79.621101 182.639372 765.717792 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 27.019873 43.102283 76.890706 178.904815 783.995931 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.065175 41.830464 75.350406 178.931428 837.335993 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.208292 40.695490 74.014940 179.400133 899.475125 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 24.000390 38.783970 70.652821 171.848430 872.038689 NaN NaN